SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
49.92% ( 0.27) | 24.44% ( -0.09) | 25.64% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( 0.25) | 47.87% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( 0.23) | 70.05% ( -0.22) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( 0.2) | 19.21% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.1% ( 0.33) | 50.9% ( -0.33) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.01) | 32.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( -0.01) | 69.48% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.64% |
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