Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.