SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Shenzhen | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Changchun Yatai | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Wuhan | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 6 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
50.17% ( 0.04) | 27.88% ( 0.01) | 21.95% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.97% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.07) | 63.25% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.36% ( -0.04) | 82.65% ( 0.05) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.01) | 25.55% ( 0.01) |
