Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei China Fortune win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei China Fortune win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hebei China Fortune would win this match.
