Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Shandong Luneng Taishan had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
