CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg

Aug 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Mandela National Stadium

SC Villa
1 - 2
Ethiopia Nigd Bank

(90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

(Click here for second leg)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between SC Villa and Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SC Villa win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Ethiopia Nigd Bank has a probability of 30.21% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Villa win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Ethiopia Nigd Bank win is 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.98%).

Result
SC Villa	Draw	Ethiopia Nigd Bank
42.18% ( 1.04)	27.61% ( 0.02)	30.21% ( -1.06)

Both teams to score 47.72% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.22% (

-0.42)

57.78% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.48% (

-0.33)

78.51% (

0.33)

SC Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.95% (

0.36)

27.05% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.58% (

0.47)

62.41% (

-0.48)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.41% (

-1)

34.59% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.69% (

-1.08)

71.31% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

SC Villa 42.17%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 30.21%

Draw 27.6%

SC Villa	Draw	Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.17%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.21%