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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 32.85% | 24.98% | 42.18% |
| Both teams to score 57.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
