Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
