Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
