MX23RW : Tuesday, May 2 19:43:48
SM
Tuesday, May 2
FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
LL
Freiburg
0 - 3
RB Leipzig

Hofler (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nkunku (41'), Sorloth (64'), Forsberg (79')
Hee-chan (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
15.35%18.77%65.88%
Both teams to score 56.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.5%36.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.35%58.65%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.32%36.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.53%73.47%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.66%10.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.2%33.8%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 15.35%
    RB Leipzig 65.88%
    Draw 18.77%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.33%
1-0 @ 3.8%
2-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.35%
1-1 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.91%
0-0 @ 3.79%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.77%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-2 @ 9.77%
0-1 @ 8.6%
1-3 @ 7.41%
0-3 @ 7.39%
1-4 @ 4.2%
0-4 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.72%
2-4 @ 2.11%
1-5 @ 1.91%
0-5 @ 1.9%
2-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 65.88%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30188481334862
2Borussia DortmundDortmund30194767402761
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin30168644311356
4Freiburg3016864637956
5RB Leipzig30166854371754
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301461053411248
7Wolfsburg301210854371746
8Mainz 05Mainz3012994943645
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111095046443
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach3099124448-436
11FC Koln30811114048-835
12Werder Bremen30105154858-1035
13Augsburg3087153955-1631
14Hoffenheim3085173951-1229
15Stuttgart30610143852-1428
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum3084183367-3428
17Schalke 04Schalke3069152857-2927
18Hertha Berlin3057183561-2622
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