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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
SD

Bayern
8 - 0
SV Darmstadt 98

Kane (51', 69', 88'), Sane (56', 64'), Musiala (60', 76'), Muller (71')
Tuchel (7'), de Ligt (38')
Kimmich (4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bader (49'), Nurnberger (69')
Gjasula (21'), Maglica (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 1-3 Bayern
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.13%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 9.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawSV Darmstadt 98
77.13% (0.037000000000006 0.04) 13.65% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03) 9.21% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.47% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.52% (0.081000000000003 0.08)27.48% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.9% (0.103 0.1)48.09% (-0.107 -0.11)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)5.79% (-0.0249 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.71% (0.066999999999993 0.07)22.29% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.94% (0.032000000000004 0.03)40.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (0.029 0.03)76.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 77.13%
    SV Darmstadt 98 9.21%
    Draw 13.65%
Bayern MunichDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 5.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 3.63% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.32% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.67% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.58% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 77.13%
1-1 @ 6.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 2.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 13.65%
1-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 9.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-3 Bayern
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Bayern
Saturday, October 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Preussen Munster 0-4 Bayern
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Friday, September 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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