Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Vitoria has a probability of 32.65% and a draw has a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Vitoria win is 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.03%).

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Vasco da Gama
32.65% ( -0.27)	27.62% ( 0.01)	39.74% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85% (

-0.09)

57.16% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.98% (

-0.07)

78.02% (

0.07)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.49% (

-0.23)

32.52% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.96% (

-0.26)

69.05% (

0.27)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

0.11)

28.1% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

0.14)

63.77% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 32.64%

Vasco da Gama 39.73%

Draw 27.62%

Vitoria	Draw	Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.64%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.73%