SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
55.7% ( 0.48) | 23.29% ( -0.14) | 21% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( 0.19) | 47.66% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( 0.17) | 69.86% ( -0.17) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( 0.24) | 16.94% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( 0.42) | 47.02% ( -0.42) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( -0.22) | 36.98% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% ( -0.22) | 73.77% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 55.7% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.69% Total : 21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
