Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
