Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
