While Sao Paulo are arguably missing more influential attacking players than Corinthians, the away side's results since Zubeldia's appointment and recent wins over their hosts (three consecutive victories in this fixture) mean the visitors are backed to record their fourth straight triumph over the struggling side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
0.88) 
-1.92) 
