We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Bragantino
Bragantino have struggled to score goals, especially away from home, but they could be playing Galo at a good time as the Brazilian champions have nothing to play for domestically except for the Copa do Brasil, so they may not push themselves as hard as Bragantino.
Even though Braga have more to play for, they are in a slump and struggling to find many attacking solutions at the moment.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
