SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
51.55% ( -0.03) | 23% ( 0.01) | 25.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.86% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.37% ( -0.04) | 41.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% ( -0.03) | 64.03% ( 0.04) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.76% ( -0.02) | 16.24% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.24% ( -0.04) | 45.76% ( 0.05) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -0) | 29.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% ( -0.01) | 65.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 25.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
