Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
