Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
