SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Charleroi |
30.56% ( 0.04) | 26.71% ( 0.02) | 42.73% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.06) | 54.28% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.33% ( -0.06) | 75.67% ( 0.05) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0) | 32.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( -0) | 69.03% ( -0) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.06) | 25.15% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.13% ( -0.09) | 59.87% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.56% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.73% |
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