SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Isloch win with a probability of 55.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Vitebsk had a probability of 20.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Isloch win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Vitebsk win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Isloch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Isloch |
20.69% ( 0.06) | 23.39% ( 0.02) | 55.92% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( -0.02) | 48.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( -0.02) | 70.6% ( 0.02) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% ( 0.04) | 37.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.46% ( 0.05) | 74.54% ( -0.05) |
| Isloch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -0.04) | 17.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.6% ( -0.07) | 47.39% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Isloch |
| 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.69% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 0-2 @ 10.06% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | IslochIsloch | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Smorgon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
| 8 | BATE BorisovBATE | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Naftan | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Neman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | SlutskSlutsk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Gomel | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | BelshinaBelshina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
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