Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
