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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slavia Mozyr win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slavia Mozyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
44.56% ( 0.43) | 25.3% ( -0.09) | 30.14% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0.24) | 48.7% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( 0.22) | 70.81% ( -0.22) |
| Slavia Mozyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( 0.3) | 21.85% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.92% ( 0.45) | 55.07% ( -0.45) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( -0.11) | 29.95% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.94% ( -0.14) | 66.06% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slavia Mozyr | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 30.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | IslochIsloch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | BATE BorisovBATE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Naftan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Smorgon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Gomel | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 2 |
| 12 | Neman | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | BelshinaBelshina | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | SlutskSlutsk | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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