SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-3 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Naftan win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | BATE Borisov |
10.21% ( -0.22) | 16.25% ( -0.09) | 73.53% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.24) | 37.69% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.06% ( -0.26) | 59.93% ( 0.26) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.52% ( -0.58) | 45.48% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.69% ( -0.46) | 81.31% ( 0.46) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.16% ( 0.01) | 8.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.72% ( 0.03) | 30.28% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.21% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.25% | 0-2 @ 11.82% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 9.57% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.8% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 2.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.21% Total : 73.52% |
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