Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
