Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dinamo Minsk in this match.
