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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Belshina win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belshina | Draw | Neman |
28.95% ( -0.45) | 25.56% ( -0.01) | 45.49% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( -0.17) | 50.39% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( -0.16) | 72.33% ( 0.15) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.42) | 31.67% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.92% ( -0.48) | 68.08% ( 0.48) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( 0.14) | 22.13% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.49% ( 0.21) | 55.51% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belshina | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 21 |
| 2 | Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Neman | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | BATE BorisovBATE | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | IslochIsloch | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | SlutskSlutsk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Smorgon | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | FC MinskFC Minsk | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Gomel | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Naftan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 5 |
| 12 | Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
| 13 | BelshinaBelshina | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -8 | -5 |
| 14 | Energetik-BGUEnergetik-BGU | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | -13 |
| 15 | Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | -14 |
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