SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
36.38% ( -0.56) | 25.96% ( 0.06) | 37.65% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( -0.29) | 50.01% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.26) | 71.99% ( 0.25) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.45) | 26.63% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( -0.6) | 61.86% ( 0.6) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( 0.14) | 25.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( 0.19) | 60.9% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.38% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.65% |
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