SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Lustenau | Draw | Sturm Graz |
12.57% ( 0) | 16.18% ( -0) | 71.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.75% ( 0) | 30.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.5% ( 0) | 51.49% ( -0.01) |
| Austria Lustenau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0) | 36.34% ( -0.01) |
