SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 41.39%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Huracan |
41.39% ( 0.06) | 30.24% ( 0.15) | 28.37% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 40.09% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.15% ( -0.49) | 66.85% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.84% ( -0.33) | 85.16% ( 0.33) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( -0.22) | 31.96% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( -0.25) | 68.42% ( 0.25) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( -0.46) | 41.08% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.38% ( -0.41) | 77.63% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 14.97% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.39% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.23% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.26% Total : 28.37% |
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