SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 34.49%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.79%) and 1-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Tigre win was 1-0 (13.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
34.34% ( 0.8) | 31.17% ( 0.37) | 34.49% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 39.18% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.42% ( -1.04) | 68.57% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.69% ( -0.69) | 86.31% ( 0.68) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.01) | 37.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.76% ( -0.01) | 74.24% ( 0.01) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( -1.39) | 37.35% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% ( -1.4) | 74.13% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.76% Total : 34.33% | 0-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.53) 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.16% | 0-1 @ 13.77% 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.26)1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.78% Total : 34.48% |
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