SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 43.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 27.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Rosario Central |
43.27% ( 0.38) | 29.18% ( -0.11) | 27.55% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 42.22% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.98% ( 0.22) | 64.02% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.8% ( 0.16) | 83.2% ( -0.15) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.32) | 29.45% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( 0.39) | 65.46% ( -0.39) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( -0.11) | 40.15% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.21% ( -0.1) | 76.79% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.55% |
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