SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Aldosivi |
61.93% ( 0.96) | 22.77% ( -0.12) | 15.3% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( -0.93) | 53.79% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.79) | 75.26% ( 0.79) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% ( 0.01) | 16.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.98% ( 0.01) | 47.02% ( -0.01) |
| Aldosivi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.65% ( -1.71) | 47.35% ( 1.71) |
