SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 44.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Union had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Union |
44.98% ( 0.27) | 29.08% ( 0.03) | 25.94% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 41.5% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.59% ( -0.24) | 64.41% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.53% ( -0.17) | 83.47% ( 0.17) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.03) | 28.71% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.46% ( 0.04) | 64.54% ( -0.04) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.22% ( -0.41) | 41.77% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.76% ( -0.36) | 78.24% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.17% Total : 25.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | BelgranoBelgrano | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 | LanusLanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario CentralRosario | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | TalleresTalleres | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 | Racing ClubRacing | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | TigreTigre | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 17 | Sarmiento | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 19 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 |
| 20 | ColonColon | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 21 | HuracanHuracan | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Barracas Central | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | BanfieldBanfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 13 |
| 24 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
| 25 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 11 |
| 26 | IndependienteIndependiente | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 27 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 8 |
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