SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 78.49%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.4%) and 3-0 (12.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.91%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
78.49% ( 0.15) | 15.6% ( -0.11) | 5.9% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 31.9% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.95% ( 0.27) | 50.05% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.98% ( 0.24) | 72.02% ( -0.24) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.24% ( 0.11) | 10.76% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.26% ( 0.25) | 34.74% ( -0.25) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.75% ( 0.03) | 64.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.32% ( 0.01) | 92.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 2-0 @ 17.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 15.4% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 78.47% | 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.6% | 0-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 5.9% |
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