SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Colon |
48.9% ( 0.41) | 28.54% ( 0.15) | 22.56% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 40.05% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.24% ( -0.81) | 64.76% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.28% ( -0.57) | 83.72% ( 0.57) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.18) | 26.87% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.81% ( -0.24) | 62.18% ( 0.24) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.77% ( -1.04) | 45.23% ( 1.04) |
