SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Belgrano |
43.45% ( 0.52) | 29.28% ( -0.09) | 27.27% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 41.84% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.1) | 64.42% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.52% ( 0.07) | 83.48% ( -0.07) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.34) | 29.55% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( 0.41) | 65.57% ( -0.41) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( -0.31) | 40.61% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% ( -0.28) | 77.2% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.41% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 27.27% |
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