SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Rivadavia win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Independiente |
36.9% ( 0.63) | 29.15% ( 0.41) | 33.94% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.36% ( -1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.59% ( -1.44) | 62.41% ( 1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% ( -1.07) | 82.03% ( 1.07) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.34) | 32.4% ( 0.34) |
