SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
32.25% ( 1.13) | 31.02% ( 0.03) | 36.73% ( -1.17) |
| Both teams to score 39.37% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.73% ( 0.05) | 68.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.89% ( 0.03) | 86.11% ( -0.03) |
| Independiente Rivadavia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% ( 0.89) | 38.82% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% ( 0.83) | 75.55% ( -0.84) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0.74) | 35.65% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( -0.77) | 72.42% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.56% Total : 32.25% | 0-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 31.01% | 0-1 @ 14.27% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.32)1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.72% |
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