SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
27.28% ( -0.47) | 27.42% ( -0.03) | 45.29% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.65% ( -0.13) | 58.34% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( -0.11) | 78.96% ( 0.1) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( -0.46) | 37.2% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% ( -0.46) | 73.99% ( 0.45) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( 0.19) | 25.7% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( 0.26) | 60.61% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.29% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.28% |
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