SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Huracan win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | River Plate |
27.94% ( 4.85) | 27.69% ( 1.59) | 44.36% ( -6.45) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.02% ( -2.49) | 58.97% ( 2.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.55% ( -1.97) | 79.44% ( 1.96) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% ( 2.91) | 37% ( -2.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.21% ( 2.79) | 73.79% ( -2.79) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -4.16) | 26.45% ( 4.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.36% ( -5.87) | 61.63% ( 5.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 1.56) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.8)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 1.08)3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.45)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.79% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( -1.37)1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.6)0-3 @ 3.84% ( -1.18)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.79)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.61)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.46)Other @ 2% Total : 44.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | TalleresTalleres | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | LanusLanus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Racing ClubRacing | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Rosario CentralRosario | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Platense | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | BelgranoBelgrano | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 14 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 16 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 18 | HuracanHuracan | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 19 | Sarmiento | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 20 | TigreTigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 |
| 22 | BanfieldBanfield | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 10 |
| 23 | IndependienteIndependiente | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 24 | Barracas Central | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 |
| 25 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 27 | UnionUnion | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 |
| 28 | ColonColon | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 |
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