SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Racing Club |
41.67% ( 0.14) | 26.85% ( -0.22) | 31.49% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.5% ( 0.89) | 54.5% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.15% ( 0.74) | 75.86% ( -0.73) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.48) | 25.81% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.24% ( 0.65) | 60.77% ( -0.64) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.52) | 31.96% ( -0.51) |
