SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Sarmiento |
57.85% ( -0.15) | 25.05% ( 0.07) | 17.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.85% ( -0.14) | 59.14% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.42% ( -0.11) | 79.58% ( 0.11) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.11) | 20.46% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.18) | 52.93% ( 0.18) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.85% ( 0.02) | 48.14% ( -0.02) |
