SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 1-0 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
25.79% ( 0.5) | 28.23% ( -0.01) | 45.98% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.15% ( 0.32) | 61.84% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.38% ( 0.23) | 81.62% ( -0.23) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.64) | 40.44% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( 0.57) | 77.05% ( -0.57) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( -0.1) | 26.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.69% ( -0.13) | 62.3% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.32% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 14.29% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.17)1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 45.98% |
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