SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 14.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
63.22% ( 0.29) | 22.57% ( -0.07) | 14.21% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 41.87% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% ( -0.13) | 54.92% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.8% ( -0.11) | 76.2% ( 0.11) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.11% ( 0.06) | 16.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.07% ( 0.1) | 46.93% ( -0.09) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.41) | 49.62% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.6% ( -0.3) | 84.4% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 14.9% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 63.21% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 14.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | BelgranoBelgrano | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 27 |
| 5 | Rosario CentralRosario | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | LanusLanus | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
| 7 | TalleresTalleres | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
| 8 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | TigreTigre | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 | Racing ClubRacing | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | ColonColon | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Barracas Central | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 17 |
| 18 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 17 |
| 19 | Instituto | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 21 | Sarmiento | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 22 | HuracanHuracan | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
| 23 | BanfieldBanfield | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 15 |
| 24 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 25 | IndependienteIndependiente | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 14 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
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