Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
