SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 24.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varnamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
49.42% ( 0.07) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 24.85% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( -0.12) | 53.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( -0.1) | 75.15% ( 0.11) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.02) | 21.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.09% ( -0.03) | 54.91% ( 0.03) |
| Varbergs BoIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% ( -0.14) | 36.71% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.5% ( -0.14) | 73.5% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Varbergs BoIS |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 49.41% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 24.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | MalmoMalmo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | ElfsborgElfsborg | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
| 3 | HackenHacken | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 25 |
| 4 | Djurgardens IFDjurgarden | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | KalmarKalmar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | HammarbyHammarby | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Halmstads BKHalmstad | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Mjallby AIF | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | SiriusSirius | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 11 |
| 14 | IFK GoteborgGoteborg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | AIK FotbollAIK | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Varbergs BoISVarbergs | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 5 |
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