SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
30.39% ( -0.05) | 23.86% ( 0.03) | 45.75% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.89% ( -0.15) | 42.11% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.48% ( -0.15) | 64.51% ( 0.16) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( -0.11) | 26.48% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.34% ( -0.15) | 61.66% ( 0.15) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -0.05) | 18.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -0.08) | 49.93% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 45.75% |
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