Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
